After a headline-making 3-0 start to the season, the get a date with the on "Monday Night Football" at 8:15 p.m. ET in Denver. Kansas City is favored by 3.5 points in the latest Chiefs vs. Broncos odds, the same as where the line opened. The over-under for total points scored is 54.5, the highest Week 4 total. Before you lock Jack Morris Jersey in any Chiefs vs. Broncos picks, you need to see what SportsLine's projection model has to say. The model went 176-80 last season and beat over 95 percent of CBS Office Pool players in 2016 and '17. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who followed it the Tyson Ross Jersey past two seasons are up nearly $4,000. It also nailed its two top-rated picks last week, including the (-5.5) against the Broncos. It's now 7-2 on top-rated picks this season, extending its run to 55-36. Now, the computer has simulated Chiefs vs. Broncos 10,000 times to produce another coveted top-rated pick against the spread. We can tell you it's leaning toward the under, but it has locked in a bold point-spread pick that hits in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see that one at SportsLine. The model knows the Broncos enter " Sparky Anderson Jersey Monday Night Football" at 2-1 despite a slow start from the offense. is averaging 207 yards pa sing the past two games, with no touchdowns and two interceptions. Those numbers could go up dramatically against a Chiefs defense that is allowing 362 yards pa sing per game, especially with a pair of veteran targets at wide receiver in and . The run game, considered a sizable question mark entering the season, has instead flourished, led by a pair of rookies that have jumped right into the fire. (198 yards) and (152 yards, two touchdowns) pace a ground game that ranks third in the entering Week 4. Just because the Denver is at home and Keenum is due for a breakout doesn't mean it will keep it within the spread on "Monday Night Football." The Chiefs have electrified the NFL through three weeks, averaging 39.3 points. Mahomes has thrown for 13 touchdowns and no interceptions. His 137.4 QB rating leads the NFL by a Lance Parrish Jersey wide margin, and under his leadership, the Chiefs' offense has scored between 38 and 42 points in every game. Entering the week, speedster has 14 receptions for 310 yards, eighth most in the NFL. has 16 receptions for 229 yards, second most among tight ends. They've combined for five touchdowns. The Chiefs' defense has given up its share of yards, but has come up with big plays in key moments. It forced and recovered a fumble in the fourth quarter at the 2-yard line against the that the offense turned into a 98-yard scoring drive Willie Horton Jersey to seal the win. Kansas City also jumped out to a big halftime lead on the Niners and the defense held them at bay in the second half, including a big stop in the fourth quarter. So which side of the Chiefs vs. Broncos spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations? .